The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 3,410.00 with a bearish target of 3,120.00 – 2,950.00. A sell signal: the price holds below 3,410.00. Stop Loss: above 3,440.00, Take Profit: 3,120.00 – 2,950.00.
- Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 3,410.00 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 3,600.00 – 3,800.00. A buy signal: the level of 3,410.00 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 3,370.00, Take Profit: 3,600.00 – 3,800.00.
Main Scenario
Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 3,410.00 with a target of 3,120.00 – 2,950.00.
Alternative Scenario
Breakout and consolidation above the level of 3,410.00 will allow the price to continue rising to the levels of 3,600.00 – 3,800.00.
Analysis
An ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 is presumably developing on the weekly chart, with wave (3) of 5 forming as its part. The third wave of smaller degree 3 of (3) appears to continue developing on the daily chart. As its part, wave iii of 3 is formed, and a local correction is unfolding as wave iv of 3. On the H4 time frame, wave (b) of iv has formed, and wave (c) of iv is developing. Within it, wave iii of (c) is forming. If the presumption is correct, XAU/USD will continue to drop to the levels of 3,120.00 – 2,950.00. The level of 3,410.00 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the asset to continue growing to the levels of 3,600.00 – 3,800.00.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode
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